2002 SEC WEEK 12

It is crunch time

 

By Jeff Sallas

 

Georgia at Auburn – The game of the week

(Saturday at 2:30 CDT on CBS)

The Dawgs hit the Plains to renew the oldest rivalry in the South.  At stake is the SEC East title and possibly an SEC West title.  It doesn’t get too much bigger than this.  There aren’t too many big storylines other than just the expectation of a great football game.  If the weather is decent I expect this to be a well-played ball game that will go right down to the wire.

 

Auburn comes into the game at the top of the SEC in total offense.  It is a real tribute to new offensive coordinator Bobby Petrino.  Auburn has languished in the bottom divison of just about all SEC offensive stats since Tuberville came.  There is no doubt Auburn made a great move bringing Petrino in.  The Auburn offense comes in confident and ready led by QB Jason Campbell.  This will be the biggest game Campbell has ever played in.  He didn’t start agianst Georgia or Bama last year.  He will be called on to make some big plays and the question is: is he ready for prime-time?  Auburn will have to throw the ball with some success to win this game. 

 

On the other side Georgia brings in a tough opportunistic defense led by DE David Pollack.  I expect them to give up some ground but will give Auburn all they can handle.  I don’t see Auburn getting a big lead unless there are turnovers.  Georgia QB David Greene will have to be careful.  Auburn’s defense has given up a lot of long drives this year but have also created a lot of turnovers.  I look for Georgia to come in with their standard game plan of short passes and running the ball with a few deep balls thrown in.  The problem will be the absence of all SEC senior WR Terrence Edwards.  That is a huge loss for the Bulldogs.  Somebody will have to step up.

 

Will the pressure of the SEC East title for Georgia completely relying on this game help or hurt the Bulldogs?  They definitely looked tight against Florida.  I think it will be a tough task.  I think Georgia might be the better team but they are playing a good team on a roll at home.  I gotta take...

AUBURN OVER GEORGIA

 

 

Bama at LSU

(Saturday at 8:00 CDT on ESPN2)

LSU fans at 8:00 at night?  Oh boy, this could get ugly.  I hope the LSU administration is beefing up security.  Things can get pretty crazy in Baton Rouge after dark.  The game will help as it should be 2 heavyweights going toe-to-toe.  Both teams have won a lot of their games by just being the bigger stronger team.  They both should be challenged in this game.  This game features just about the best sets of lines, offensive and defensive, in the entire league.  It should be awesome to watch them go head-to-head.

 

What will be the difference in this game?  It might just be the Bama skill players.  They bring in a senior QB who has been through the wars along with 2 of the better RBs in the conference.  LSU brings in a redshirt freshman QB and is still missing RB LaBrandon Toefield.  LSU might have Bama beat at the WR position though with super sophomore Michael Clayton and last week’s hero   Devery Henderson.  Both defenses top the conference in most of the defensive stats so I think the offenses will have their hands full.

 

This is a very tough call.  Bama brings in a more experienced veteran team but LSU has a pretty good home field advantage.  Both coaches have been pushing all the right buttons lately.  Any kind of lead will be huge although I think Bama has played better coming from behind than LSU has.  Bama looks to be a bit better team.  However since a tough loss to Georgia the Tide has had easy games with Ole Miss, Vandy and Miss St.  The Tide got a huge emotional win over UT but UT’s record is not even as good as Ole Miss.  They are in the top 10 and there is a lot of talk about going 11-2 already with 2 of their toughest conference games still to be played.  Meanwhile LSU is probably just now back on track after getting their wake-up call against Auburn.  It looks like another solid Bama win but I have a sneaking feeling that it will be...

LSU OVER BAMA

 

 

South Carolina at Florida

(Saturday at 5:00 CDT on ESPN2)

As darkness settles in in Auburn and the 4th quarter nears, this game will get underway to possibly settle who will win the SEC East.  If Georgia loses, it will be Florida’s crown to win, again.  I have definitely have had my doubts about Ron Zook and still do but if he gets to the SEC Championship game, even fireronzook.com will have to wait awhile.  Call him lucky or whatever but the guy had a hand in Florida winning all it’s divisional games if it can get this one.  I think the Gators will play well in this game especially if Georgia loses.  I think they have some of their confidence back. 

 

Meanwhile I don’t know what is going on in Columbia.  I read that they are benching starting senior QB Corey Jenkins and moving him to defense (???).  The South Carolina offense has been abysmal but I don’t think it has all been his fault.  Not to mention the season is almost over.  Regardless it sounds like Dondrial Pinkins will start at QB for South Carolina.  I don’t see the Gamecock offense improving much.  South Carolina’s defense is a bit better against the pass than the run but I am not sure how much that will help.

 

I am seeing a Gator blowout any way you slice it...

FLORIDA OVER SOUTH CAROLINA  

 

 

Tennessee at Miss St

(Saturday at 11:30 CDT on Jefferson Pilot)

This is pretty much a desperation game for both of these teams.  State is trying to at least get one decent win out of the season and Tennessee is trying to stay bowl eligible.  Both coaches are taking a lot of heat although obviously Fulmer is still better off than Sherill.  Both teams are looking for some offense. 

 

Both offenses had tough times against very good defenses last week and have pretty much had tough times most of the year.  I think Casey Clausen is out again for the Vols so I look for them to come out running even more as they have before without Clausen.  Cedric Houston has been very effective since coming back.  I look for him to be the workhorse again this week.  Meanwhile State is trying to get Jerious Norwood in the game more.  The guy has shown flashes of brilliance.  State has been a bit more balanced this year but just hasn’t been able to put it together. 

 

I think the defenses are the best units on the field so this will probably be a low-scoring game.  However I think UT’s defense is the best and I think they will force State into some turnovers.  One of Jackie Sherill’s biggest early wins at State was a win over UT in Starkville, I don’t see an encore performance this week...

TENNESSEE OVER MISS ST

 

 

Elsewhere...

Kentucky over Vandy

Arkansas over La-Laf

 

 

Ole Miss is open this week.

 

Overall picking SEC vs. SEC/BCS opponents I went 5-1 last week missing Arkansas taking South Carolina.  Overall I am 37-13.  Overall including patsies I went 6-1 and am at 64-15.